Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 23

Date: 25 February 2023, Saturday


	Alcorcón B		Atlético Madrid B

	1	X	2
	4.8	3.5	1.6
	4.75	3.25	1.8
	5.71	3.54	1.63
	5.3	3.52	1.63
	5	3.6	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.11 ↑ (3.38)	3.48 ↑ (2.8)	1.65 ↓ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcorcón B
18%

Draw
26.4%

Atlético Madrid B
55.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.8%

32.4%

40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.7%

31%

42.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcorcón B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alcorcón B's form might have worsened.

Atlético Madrid B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlético Madrid B's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcorcón B than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alcorcón B, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Madrid B than the current prediction. (-13%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético Madrid B, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Alcorcón B - Atlético Madrid B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Recent matches Alcorcón B is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Atlético Madrid B is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Atlético Madrid B is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Alcorcón B won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Alcorcón B won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alcorcón B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
19.02.23	Unión Adarve - Alcorcón B	2:1 ✺
12.02.23	Alcorcón B - CD Guadalajara	1:2 ✺
05.02.23	Socuéllamos - Alcorcón B	0:0 ✺
28.01.23	Alcorcón B - Diocesano	1:0 ✺
22.01.23	Cacereño - Alcorcón B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 LLTWT
- Atlético Madrid B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
19.02.23	Atlético Madrid B - Cerdanyola del Vallès	4:0 ✺
12.02.23	Montijo - Atlético Madrid B	2:1 ✺
05.02.23	Atlético Madrid B - Coria	3:1 ✺
29.01.23	Don Benito - Atlético Madrid B	2:2 ✺
22.01.23	Atlético Madrid B - Gimnástica Segoviana	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
09.10.22	Atlético Madrid B - Alcorcón B	1:1
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
10.04.22	Atlético Madrid B - Alcorcón B	2:0
08.12.21	Alcorcón B - Atlético Madrid B	0:1

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