Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 18

Date: 22 January 2023, Sunday


	Cacereño		Alcorcón B

	1	X	2
	1.41	3.8	7
	1.5	3.8	7
	1.39	3.8	7.8
	1.41	4.01	9.14
	1.36	4.15	8.5
	1.4	3.9	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.67)	3.91 ↑ (3.1)	7.91 ↑ (5.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cacereño
65%

Draw
23.5%

Alcorcón B
11.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.4%

29.3%

16.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.9%

28%

15.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cacereño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cacereño's performance.

Alcorcón B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cacereño than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cacereño that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcorcón B than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Cacereño - Alcorcón B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Cacereño is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Alcorcón B has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Cacereño could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Cacereño have a series of home games.

In this match Cacereño is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Cacereño won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CP Cacereño
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
15.01.23	Cacereño - Cerdanyola del Vallès	0:0 ✺
11.01.23	Cacereño - Coria	2:0 ✺
08.01.23	Montijo - Cacereño	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
03.01.23	Cacereño - Real Madrid	0:1 ✺
22.12.22	Cacereño - Girona	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.6 TWLLW
- Alcorcón B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
15.01.23	Villanovense - Alcorcón B	3:0 ✺
08.01.23	Alcorcón B - Atlético Paso	0:0 ✺
18.12.22	Melilla - Alcorcón B	2:0 ✺
10.12.22	Alcorcón B - Navalcarnero	1:2 ✺
03.12.22	Leganés B - Alcorcón B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
04.09.22	Alcorcón B - Cacereño	0:3

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