Match Info

Date: 24 October 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Alcorcón B		Moratalaz

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.1	2.5
	2.65	2.7	2.48
	2.6	2.95	2.46
	2.72	2.78	2.61
	2.67	3.1	2.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↑ (2.5)	2.93 ↓ (3.2)	2.52 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcorcón B
34%

Draw
30.5%

Moratalaz
35.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36%

28.1%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.7%

20.8%

48.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcorcón B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Moratalaz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcorcón B than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alcorcón B that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moratalaz than the current prediction. (+13.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Moratalaz could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Alcorcón B - Moratalaz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 8).

Recent matches Alcorcón B is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Moratalaz is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Moratalaz could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Alcorcón B won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Alcorcón B won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alcorcón B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
17.10.21	Villaviciosa de Odón - Alcorcón B	1:0 ✺
03.10.21	Villaverde San Andrés - Alcorcón B	0:1 ✺
26.09.21	Alcorcón B - Trival Valderas	2:2 ✺
19.09.21	Ursaria - Alcorcón B	1:1 ✺
15.09.21	Alcorcón B - Parla	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWTTT
- ED Moratalaz
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
17.10.21	Moratalaz - Las Rozas	0:0 ✺
10.10.21	Atlético Madrid B - Moratalaz	1:1 ✺
03.10.21	Moratalaz - Colonia Moscardó	1:0 ✺
26.09.21	Carabanchel - Moratalaz	0:1 ✺
19.09.21	Moratalaz - Rayo Vallecano B	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 TTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
14.08.21	Alcorcón B - Moratalaz	3:0
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
09.05.21	Alcorcón B - Moratalaz	0:1
18.04.21	Moratalaz - Alcorcón B	1:0
01.03.20	Moratalaz - Alcorcón B	1:0
13.10.19	Alcorcón B - Moratalaz	3:0

Alcorcón B - Moratalaz

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Alcorcón B - Moratalaz Predictions

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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