Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 15

Date: 20 December 2025, Saturday


	Alcorcón B		Parla

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.92	3.1
	2.06	3.09	3.43
	2.09	3.12	3.47	Watch
	2.3	2.8	3.2
	2.14	3.44	3.23
	2.25	3.1	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (2.02)	3.08 ↓ (3.35)	3.24 ↓ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcorcón B
42%

Draw
29.7%

Parla
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

27.2%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.8%

26.2%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcorcón B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Parla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcorcón B than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Parla than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Alcorcón B - Parla Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
3', 1 - 0, ⚽,
30', 2 - 0, ⚽,
40', 2 - 1, Pastor N. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
78', 3 - 1, ⚽,
88', 4 - 1, ⚽,
90+1', 🟥,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 12 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alcorcón B won 3.

Alcorcón B is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Parla has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Alcorcón B is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Alcorcón B won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:11. (average 1.7:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Alcorcón B won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alcorcón B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
13.12.25	Alcorcón B - Galapagar	2:1 ✺
06.12.25	México - Alcorcón B	2:0 ✺
22.11.25	Alcorcón B - Tres Cantos	2:1 ✺
16.11.25	Carabanchel - Alcorcón B	2:3 ✺
08.11.25	Alcorcón B - Móstoles URJC	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.2 WLWWW
- AD Parla
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
14.12.25	Parla - México	1:3 ✺
07.12.25	Tres Cantos - Parla	3:1 ✺
23.11.25	Parla - Carabanchel	3:1 ✺
16.11.25	Móstoles URJC - Parla	3:1 ✺
09.11.25	Parla - San Sebastian Reyes B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
08.02.25	Alcorcón B - Parla	3:3
29.09.24	Parla - Alcorcón B	1:6
07.01.24	Alcorcón B - Parla	2:1
23.01.22	Parla - Alcorcón B	0:1
15.09.21	Alcorcón B - Parla	1:1
28.02.21	Parla - Alcorcón B	0:1
29.11.20	Alcorcón B - Parla	3:0

Alcorcón B - Parla: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide