Match Info

Date: 1 March 2020, Sunday


	Alcoyano		Novelda

	1	X	2
	1.26	5	7.25
	1.27	4.6	6.75
	1.23	4.69	9.44
	1.22	5.82	12.97
	1.27	5.05	9.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.25 ↓ (1.3)	5.03 ↑ (5)	9.24 ↑ (7.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcoyano
72.3%

Draw
18%

Novelda
9.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.5%

18.1%

12.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

79.7%

15.8%

10.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcoyano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Novelda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcoyano than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alcoyano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Novelda than the current prediction. (+1%)

Alcoyano - Novelda Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Alcoyano
Club Friendly
13.02.20	Alcoyano - Iberia 1999	1:3 ✺
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
09.02.20	Roda - Alcoyano	0:2 ✺
26.01.20	Atlético Saguntino - Alcoyano	0:1 ✺
19.01.20	Recambios Colón - Alcoyano	1:1 ✺
12.01.20	Alcoyano - Benigánim	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWWTW
- Novelda CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
16.02.20	Intercity - Novelda	1:2 ✺
02.02.20	Alzira - Novelda	1:0 ✺
25.01.20	Novelda - Silla	0:0 ✺
19.01.20	Eldense - Novelda	2:1 ✺
12.01.20	Novelda - Español de San Vicente	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
12.10.19	Novelda - Alcoyano	0:2

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