Match Info

Date: 20 December 2020, Sunday


	Intercity		Novelda

	1	X	2
	1.19	5.25	9.75
	1.21	5	8.5
	1.23	5	10
	1.24	5.87	11.58
	1.27	4.6	11
	1.28	4.85	10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.24 ↓ (1.34)	5.1 ↑ (4.32)	10.14 ↑ (7.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Intercity
73.3%

Draw
17.8%

Novelda
8.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.1%

20.8%

12.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

81.3%

17.2%

10%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Intercity has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Intercity's performance.

Novelda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Intercity than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Intercity, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Novelda than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Intercity - Novelda Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion to Tercera Division to Group 6 (Second stage) and 10 in the zone Tercera Division to Group 6 (Relegation Group)).

Recent matches Intercity is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Novelda has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Novelda could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Intercity have a series of guest games.

In this match Intercity is absolute favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Intercity won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Intercity won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Intercity
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
05.12.20	Crevillente Deportivo - Intercity	1:1 ✺
28.11.20	Eldense - Intercity	1:1 ✺
22.11.20	Intercity - Español de San Vicente	1:0 ✺
08.11.20	Olímpic de Xàtiva - Intercity	1:3 ✺
25.10.20	Elche Ilicitano - Intercity	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 TTWWL
- Novelda CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
13.12.20	Crevillente Deportivo - Novelda	1:0 ✺
06.12.20	Elche Ilicitano - Novelda	1:0 ✺
28.11.20	Novelda - Hércules B	0:2 ✺
22.11.20	Villajoyosa - Novelda	1:1 ✺
25.10.20	Novelda - Eldense	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
16.02.20	Intercity - Novelda	1:2
28.09.19	Novelda - Intercity	1:0

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