Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 11 - ROUND 16

Date: 13 January 2024, Saturday


	Alcúdia		Arenal

	1	X	2
	1.47	3.9	5.5
	1.41	4.13	6.38
	1.41	4.13	6.38
	1.41	4.2	6.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.82)	4.09 ↑ (3.25)	6.29 ↑ (4.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Alcúdia
63.5%

Draw
22.1%

Arenal
14.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

27.9%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.1%

27.2%

21.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcúdia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alcúdia's performance.

Arenal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arenal might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcúdia than the current prediction. (-12.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alcúdia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arenal than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arenal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

#ad

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 12 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Alcúdia is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Arenal is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Alcúdia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Alcúdia is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UE Alcúdia
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
07.01.24	Binissalem - Alcúdia	3:1 ✺
16.12.23	Alcúdia - Inter Manacor	1:0 ✺
02.12.23	Mercadal - Alcúdia	0:0 ✺
25.11.23	Alcúdia - Felanitx	2:0 ✺
18.11.23	Platges de Calvià - Alcúdia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWTWL
- UD Arenal
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
22.12.23	Arenal - Sóller	3:0 ✺
16.12.23	Santanyí - Arenal	3:0 ✺
02.12.23	Arenal - Manacor	1:3 ✺
26.11.23	Alaior - Arenal	2:1 ✺
18.11.23	Arenal - Portmany	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLLLT

Alcúdia - Arenal: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide