Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 11 - ROUND 14

Date: 16 December 2023, Saturday


	Santanyí		Arenal

	1	X	2
	1.39	4	6.75
	1.42	3.96	6.23
	1.43	3.96	6.23
	1.4	4.15	6.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.51)	4.02 ↑ (3.75)	6.5 ↑ (5.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santanyí
63.8%

Draw
22.4%

Arenal
13.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60%

24.2%

15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

17.6%

21.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santanyí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Arenal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santanyí than the current prediction. (-20.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Santanyí that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arenal than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arenal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 13 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Santanyí is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Arenal has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Santanyí is certain favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Santanyí
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
02.12.23	Binissalem - Santanyí	1:0 ✺
25.11.23	Santanyí - Inter Manacor	3:1 ✺
18.11.23	Mercadal - Santanyí	2:1 ✺
11.11.23	Santanyí - Felanitx	1:0 ✺
04.11.23	Platges de Calvià - Santanyí	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LWLWL
- UD Arenal
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
02.12.23	Arenal - Manacor	1:3 ✺
26.11.23	Alaior - Arenal	2:1 ✺
18.11.23	Arenal - Portmany	1:1 ✺
12.11.23	Mallorca B - Arenal	3:0 ✺
28.10.23	Constancia - Arenal	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLTLL

Santanyí - Arenal: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide