Match Info

BRAZIL: CAMPEONATO POTIGUAR - FIRST STAGE - ROUND 8

Date: 12 February 2023, Sunday


	Alecrim		Potiguar

	1	X	2
	7.5	4.33	1.34
	6.21	4.93	1.34
	7.7	4.6	1.33
	7.4	4.5	1.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.2 ↑ (5.71)	4.59 ↑ (3.8)	1.34 ↓ (1.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alecrim
12.6%

Draw
19.7%

Potiguar
67.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.8%

23.7%

60.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.3%

23%

62.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alecrim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Potiguar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Potiguar's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alecrim than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Potiguar than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Potiguar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Alecrim has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Potiguar is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Alecrim could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Potiguar is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Alecrim won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Alecrim won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alecrim FC
Brazilian Campeonato Potiguar
09.02.23	Alecrim - Globo FC	0:1 ✺
05.02.23	Alecrim - Força e Luz	0:1 ✺
29.01.23	América RN - Alecrim	2:0 ✺
25.01.23	Alecrim - América RN	1:3 ✺
19.01.23	Força e Luz - Alecrim	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLLT
- ACD Potiguar
Brazilian Campeonato Potiguar
08.02.23	Potiguar - Santa Cruz de Natal	3:1 ✺
04.02.23	Potyguar Seridoense - Potiguar	0:1 ✺
29.01.23	Potiguar - ABC	1:3 ✺
26.01.23	ABC - Potiguar	5:1 ✺
22.01.23	Potiguar - Potyguar Seridoense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Potiguar
15.01.23	Potiguar - Alecrim	5:1
29.01.17	Alecrim - Potiguar	2:2

Alecrim - Potiguar: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide