Match Info

Date: 30 March 2024, Saturday


	Alemannia Aachen		Fortuna Köln

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.6	4
	1.72	3.75	4.33
	1.92	3.56	4.26
	1.93	3.56	3.78
	1.75	3.91	4.12
	1.71	3.7	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (1.85)	3.68 ↑ (3.6)	4.1 ↑ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alemannia Aachen
52.1%

Draw
25.3%

Fortuna Köln
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.3%

25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alemannia Aachen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Fortuna Köln has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alemannia Aachen than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortuna Köln than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Alemannia Aachen - Fortuna Köln Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', 1 - 0, Heinz A. ⚽,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Aachen won 1.

Aachen in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Fortuna Köln is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Aachen could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Aachen is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Aachen to win the game is with odds 1.77.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Aachen won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 13-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Aachen won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 6-12.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alemannia Aachen
German Regionalliga West
15.03.24	Köln II - Alemannia Aachen	0:2 ✺
08.03.24	Alemannia Aachen - Fortuna Düsseldorf II	2:1 ✺
02.03.24	Rödinghausen - Alemannia Aachen	1:1 ✺
24.02.24	Alemannia Aachen - Gütersloh	4:0 ✺
18.02.24	Schalke 04 II - Alemannia Aachen	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWTWW
- Fortuna Köln
German Regionalliga West
16.03.24	Fortuna Köln - Fortuna Düsseldorf II	4:1 ✺
09.03.24	Gütersloh - Fortuna Köln	1:1 ✺
02.03.24	Fortuna Köln - Rot-Weiß Oberhausen	2:1 ✺
24.02.24	Lippstadt 08 - Fortuna Köln	2:2 ✺
17.02.24	Fortuna Köln - Velbert	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga West
06.10.23	Fortuna Köln - Alemannia Aachen	0:1
18.03.23	Fortuna Köln - Alemannia Aachen	1:0
01.10.22	Alemannia Aachen - Fortuna Köln	1:2
30.04.22	Fortuna Köln - Alemannia Aachen	0:0
20.11.21	Alemannia Aachen - Fortuna Köln	0:1
24.03.21	Fortuna Köln - Alemannia Aachen	2:2
18.11.20	Alemannia Aachen - Fortuna Köln	0:1

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