Match Info

GERMANY: REGIONALLIGA WEST - ROUND 26

Date: 15 March 2024, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport


	Köln II		Alemannia Aachen

	1	X	2
	4.1	3.5	1.68
	4.2	3.75	1.72	Watch
	4.38	3.86	1.79
	4.38	3.86	1.75
	4.21	3.7	1.7
	4.1	3.55	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.23 ↑ (3)	3.7 ↑ (3.6)	1.73 ↓ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Köln II
21.8%

Draw
24.9%

Alemannia Aachen
53.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30%

25%

45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.8%

24%

46.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Köln II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Köln II's form might have worsened.

Alemannia Aachen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alemannia Aachen's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Köln II than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Köln II, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alemannia Aachen than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alemannia Aachen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Köln II - Alemannia Aachen Predictions

Users Predictions: Alemannia Aachen will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Köln II won 0.

Köln II is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Aachen is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Aachen is a favorite.

Last 23 head-to-head matches Köln II won 4 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 21-32.

Including matches at home between the teams Köln II won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 14-19.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 1. Köln II
German Regionalliga West
09.03.24	Köln II - Rödinghausen	0:3 ✺
03.03.24	Schalke 04 II - Köln II	0:1 ✺
24.02.24	Köln II - Borussia Mönchengladbach II	1:1 ✺
16.02.24	Wuppertal - Köln II	2:0 ✺
11.02.24	Köln II - Düren	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWTLL
- Alemannia Aachen
German Regionalliga West
08.03.24	Alemannia Aachen - Fortuna Düsseldorf II	2:1 ✺
02.03.24	Rödinghausen - Alemannia Aachen	1:1 ✺
24.02.24	Alemannia Aachen - Gütersloh	4:0 ✺
18.02.24	Schalke 04 II - Alemannia Aachen	2:3 ✺
10.02.24	Alemannia Aachen - Rot-Weiß Oberhausen	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga West
30.09.23	Alemannia Aachen - Köln II	1:1
15.04.23	Köln II - Alemannia Aachen	0:2
21.10.22	Alemannia Aachen - Köln II	3:1
20.04.22	Alemannia Aachen - Köln II	1:1
15.09.21	Köln II - Alemannia Aachen	1:3
23.04.21	Köln II - Alemannia Aachen	0:2
21.11.20	Alemannia Aachen - Köln II	0:0

Upcoming Matches