Match Info

GERMANY: REGIONALLIGA WEST - ROUND 11

Date: 14 October 2023, Saturday


	Alemannia Aachen		Wegberg-Beeck

	1	X	2
	1.31	4.75	7.25
	1.33	5	8	Watch
	1.35	4.98	8.46
	1.29	4.8	8
	1.32	4.95	8.4
	1.34	4.8	7.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.5)	4.88 ↑ (4.33)	7.92 ↑ (5.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alemannia Aachen
69.5%

Draw
18.9%

Wegberg-Beeck
11.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.8%

21.4%

16.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.4%

20.9%

16.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alemannia Aachen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alemannia Aachen's performance.

Wegberg-Beeck has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Wegberg-Beeck might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alemannia Aachen than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alemannia Aachen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wegberg-Beeck than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Alemannia Aachen - Wegberg Beeck Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 9 and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Aachen won 3.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Aachen could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Aachen is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Aachen won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 20-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Aachen won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alemannia Aachen
German Regionalliga West
06.10.23	Fortuna Köln - Alemannia Aachen	0:1 ✺
30.09.23	Alemannia Aachen - Köln II	1:1 ✺
24.09.23	Fortuna Düsseldorf II - Alemannia Aachen	0:0 ✺
16.09.23	Alemannia Aachen - Rödinghausen	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
07.09.23	Bayer Leverkusen - Alemannia Aachen	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WTTWL
- FC Wegberg-Beeck
German Regionalliga West
07.10.23	Köln II - Wegberg-Beeck	2:0 ✺
29.09.23	Wegberg-Beeck - Rödinghausen	4:1 ✺
23.09.23	Schalke 04 II - Wegberg-Beeck	1:0 ✺
15.09.23	Wegberg-Beeck - Borussia Mönchengladbach II	2:1 ✺
02.09.23	Wuppertal - Wegberg-Beeck	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga West
19.03.22	Wegberg-Beeck - Alemannia Aachen	0:2
08.10.21	Alemannia Aachen - Wegberg-Beeck	3:2
17.04.21	Alemannia Aachen - Wegberg-Beeck	1:1
Club Friendly
16.08.19	Wegberg-Beeck - Alemannia Aachen	3:2
German Regionalliga West
28.04.18	Alemannia Aachen - Wegberg-Beeck	4:2
28.10.17	Wegberg-Beeck - Alemannia Aachen	1:3
03.04.16	Wegberg-Beeck - Alemannia Aachen	2:2

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