The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Fortuna Köln 24.8%
Draw 24.6%
Alemannia Aachen 50.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
26.3%
25.9%
47.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.8%
25.4%
48.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fortuna Köln has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
Alemannia Aachen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortuna Köln than the current prediction. (+1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alemannia Aachen than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
100%
Fortuna Köln - Alemannia Aachen Predictions
Users Predictions:
Alemannia Aachen will win
(6 of 6 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Winkler L. (G) 31. Telle N. 15. Al-Azzawe D. 3. Fischer M. 22. Afamefuna R. 11. Strauch G. 38. Broger B. 20. Stanilewicz A. 7. Thier N. 9. Wirtz E. 30. Aigbekaen R.
23. Bajic S. (G) 37. Kiala J. 15. Hanraths M. 2. Bagkalianis P. 8. Koster L. 36. Ademi F. 20. Ermolaev G. 7. Scepanik L. 10. Loune M. 27. Schroers M. 9. Starodid D.
Substitutes
18. Al Ghaddioui H. 19. Bornemann T. 27. Brechmann K. 5. Funger S. 10. Garcia R. 2. Krumme K. 16. Michelbrink J. 23. Savic D. 25. Zich B. (G)
18. Izekor K. 21. Jung G. 49. Pobric M. 1. Riemann M. (G) 38. Sulejmani V. 3. Wagner M. 11. Waschenbach M.
Coaches
Mink M.
Selimbegovic M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Loune M. (Penalty Awarded),
20', Loune M. 🟨,
23', Loune M. 🟨,
34', Hanraths M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', 1 - 1, Aigbekaen R. ⚽,
61', Bagkalianis P. 🟨,
67', Ermolaev G. ↓, Waschenbach M. ↑,
70', Wirtz E. 🟨,
71', Thier N. ↓, Michelbrink J. ↑,
76', Aigbekaen R. ↓, Bornemann T. ↑,
76', Wirtz E. ↓, Al Ghaddioui H. ↑,
80', Kiala J. 🟨,
82', Schroers M. ↓, Bitumazala N. ↑,
84', Broger B. ↓, Garcia R. ↑,
89', Starodid D. ↓, Izekor K. ↑,
90+2', Koster L. ↓, Jung G. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fortuna Köln won 2.
Fortuna Köln has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Aachen is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Fortuna Köln may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Fortuna Köln has had a series of away games.
Aachen is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Fortuna Köln won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:14. (average 1.1:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Fortuna Köln won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 0.8:1.2).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
9
Alemannia Aachen
7
3
2
2
11:8
3
11
10
Fortuna Koln
8
2
4
2
8:8
0
10
Last Results with these Odds
Alemannia Aachen - the odds 1.93 are the expected chance of winning is 47.81%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.