The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Alesves 26%
Draw 27.2%
Subiza 46.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
28%
27.7%
44.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.6%
27.3%
45%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alesves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
Subiza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alesves than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Subiza than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
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Preview
One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 15 (Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 15 (Play Offs: )).
Alesves is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Subiza in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Subiza could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Subiza will have a mini benefit in this match.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Alesves won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 0-12.
Including matches at home between the teams Alesves won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-5.
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