Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 15 - Round 30

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday


	Subiza		Cortes

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.5	5.35
	1.59	3.53	5.13
	1.87	3.44	3.93	Watch
	1.6	3.5	5
	1.55	3.58	5.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.6)	3.51 ↓ (3.7)	5.01 ↓ (5.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Subiza
55.8%

Draw
26%

Cortes
18.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.3%

24.8%

17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.1%

24%

17.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Subiza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Cortes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Subiza than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cortes than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Subiza - Cortes Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
61', 1 - 1, ⚽,
69', 2 - 1, ⚽,
72', 3 - 1, ⚽,
78', 4 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 15 (Play Offs: ) and 7)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Subiza won 4.

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

Cortes may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Subiza is seen as the favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Subiza won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:4. (average 1.3:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Subiza won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1:0.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Subiza	5	2	1	2	11:8	3	7
15	Cortes	5	1	1	3	2:8	-6	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Subiza
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
05.04.26	Oberena - Subiza	4:0 ✺
29.03.26	Subiza - Izarra	0:0 ✺
19.03.26	Bidezarra - Subiza	1:0 ✺
15.03.26	Subiza - Txantrea	2:2 ✺
07.03.26	Pamplona - Subiza	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LTLTL
- CD Cortes
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
02.04.26	Cortes - San Juan	0:0 ✺
28.03.26	Beti Onak - Cortes	2:0 ✺
22.03.26	Cortes - Avance Ezcabarte	2:1 ✺
18.03.26	Peña Sport - Cortes	2:1 ✺
14.03.26	Ardoi - Cortes	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
07.12.25	Cortes - Subiza	0:2
03.02.24	Cortes - Subiza	1:1
16.09.23	Subiza - Cortes	1:0
16.04.23	Subiza - Cortes	1:0
10.12.22	Cortes - Subiza	1:3
05.02.22	Cortes - Subiza	1:0
07.09.19	Subiza - Cortes	1:1

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