Match Info

Liga 3 - Seria 4 - Promotion Group - Round 8

Date: 9 May 2025, Friday

Location: Turnu Măgurele Municipal Stadium (Turnu Măgurele)


	Alexandria		Progresul Spartac Bucuresti

	1	X	2
	5.6	4.3	1.45
	5.89	4.42	1.44	Watch
	6.11	4.33	1.42
	5.6	4.3	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.8 ↑ (4.9)	4.34 ↑ (3.9)	1.44 ↓ (1.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexandria
15.7%

Draw
21%

Progresul Spartac Bucuresti
63.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.6%

23.4%

58%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.4%

21.9%

62%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexandria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Progresul Spartac Bucuresti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Progresul Spartac Bucuresti's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexandria than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Progresul Spartac Bucuresti than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Alexandria - Progresul Spartac Bucuresti Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)

Preview

Both teams are on a losing streak in recent matches.

Progresul Spartac may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Progresul Spartac is the clear favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alexandria won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 1.6:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Alexandria won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CSM Alexandria
Romanian Liga 3 - Seria 4
26.04.25	Alexandria - CS Dinamo București	1:3 ✺
11.04.25	Vedița Colonești - Alexandria	4:1 ✺
05.04.25	CS Dinamo București - Alexandria	3:0 ✺
29.03.25	Alexandria - Progresul Spartac Bucuresti	1:1 ✺
22.03.25	Alexandria - Vedița Colonești	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLLTL
- Progresul Spartac Bucuresti
Romanian Liga 3 - Seria 4
03.05.25	Progresul Spartac Bucuresti - CS Dinamo București	0:1 ✺
25.04.25	Vedița Colonești - Progresul Spartac Bucuresti	4:3 ✺
12.04.25	CS Dinamo București - Progresul Spartac Bucuresti	2:1 ✺
05.04.25	Progresul Spartac Bucuresti - Vedița Colonești	0:1 ✺
29.03.25	Alexandria - Progresul Spartac Bucuresti	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Romanian Liga 3 - Seria 4
29.03.25	Alexandria - Progresul Spartac Bucuresti	1:1
23.11.24	Progresul Spartac Bucuresti - Alexandria	1:0
21.09.24	Alexandria - Progresul Spartac Bucuresti	2:1
Romanian Division 2
05.11.23	Progresul Spartac Bucuresti - Alexandria	1:3
Romanian Cup
13.09.22	Alexandria - Progresul Spartac Bucuresti	2:1

Alexandria - Progresul Spartac Bucuresti: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide