Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 16 - ROUND 10

Date: 11 November 2023, Saturday


	Alfaro		Casalarreina

	1	X	2
	1.14	6.5	17
	1.32	4.63	7.53
	1.32	4.63	7.53
	1.27	5	8.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.34)	5.19 ↑ (4.5)	10.19 ↑ (7.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alfaro
73.1%

Draw
17.8%

Casalarreina
9.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.5%

20.1%

12.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.5%

19.2%

11.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alfaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alfaro's performance.

Casalarreina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alfaro than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casalarreina than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

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Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 12).

Alfaro is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Casalarreina is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Casalarreina could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Alfaro is absolute favorite.

Our prediction for today's Alfaro to win the game is with odds 1.36.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Alfaro won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Alfaro won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Alfaro
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
29.10.23	Alfaro - Calahorra B	1:2 ✺
22.10.23	Tedeón - Alfaro	0:2 ✺
15.10.23	Alfaro - Peña Balsamaiso	4:0 ✺
30.09.23	Alfaro - Racing Rioja	1:0 ✺
24.09.23	Varea - Alfaro	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LWWWW
- Casalarreina CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
05.11.23	Casalarreina - Anguiano	2:2 ✺
29.10.23	Arnedo - Casalarreina	1:0 ✺
22.10.23	Casalarreina - Alberite	5:1 ✺
15.10.23	UD Logroñés Promesas - Casalarreina	5:0 ✺
08.10.23	Casalarreina - Oyonesa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
07.05.22	Alfaro - Casalarreina	3:0
13.03.22	Casalarreina - Alfaro	0:1
31.10.21	Alfaro - Casalarreina	1:0
16.11.19	Casalarreina - Alfaro	2:1

Alfaro - Casalarreina: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide