The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Varea 35.1%
Draw 32%
Alfaro 32.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
34.9%
30.2%
34.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Varea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
Alfaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
Varea - Alfaro Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Gonzalez A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
A clash between two contenders competing at the top of the table (ranked 6th and 2nd in the Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 Playoffs).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Varea won 1.
Alfaro could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Varea has recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:13 (averaging 0.6:1.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Varea against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with 4:11 goals (averaging 0.7:1.8 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
Varea
8
4
4
0
7:3
4
16
4
Alfaro
8
5
1
2
11:8
3
16
Last Results with these Odds
Alfaro - the odds 2.6 are the expected chance of winning is 34.88%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.