The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Alfaro 40.3%
Draw 29.2%
La Calzada 30.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.2%
29.5%
29.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43%
30.8%
28.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alfaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
La Calzada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alfaro than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for La Calzada than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
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Preview
During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 16 (Play Offs: ) and 9).
Alfaro is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
La Calzada is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Alfaro will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Alfaro won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-4.
Including matches at home between the teams Alfaro won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.
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