Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 15

Date: 7 December 2022, Wednesday


	Algeciras		Linense

	1	X	2
	2.05	3	3.5
	2	2.95	3.5
	2	3.25	3.85
	2.05	3	3.5
	2.25	2.87	3.69
	2.1	3	3.5
	2.11	3.06	3.42
	2.06	3	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↓ (2.18)	3.02 ↑ (2.91)	3.56 ↑ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Algeciras
44%

Draw
30.3%

Linense
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

30.9%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

32.5%

26.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Algeciras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Linense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Algeciras than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Linense than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	10%	30%

Algeciras - Linense Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Algeciras will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Linense will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Algeciras: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

A game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Algeciras won 4.

Algeciras is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Linense is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Algeciras will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Algeciras won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Algeciras won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Algeciras CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
04.12.22	Celta de Vigo B - Algeciras	2:2 ✺
27.11.22	Algeciras - San Sebastian Reyes	0:2 ✺
19.11.22	Alcorcón - Algeciras	2:0 ✺
05.11.22	Algeciras - Deportivo A Coruña	1:2 ✺
30.10.22	Mérida AD - Algeciras	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TLLLT
- Real Balompedica Linense
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
04.12.22	Linense - Ceuta	2:1 ✺
27.11.22	Talavera de la Reina - Linense	0:0 ✺
20.11.22	Linense - Ferrol	2:1 ✺
05.11.22	Linares Deportivo - Linense	1:0 ✺
29.10.22	Linense - Leonesa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
06.03.22	Algeciras - Linense	1:0
19.09.21	Linense - Algeciras	0:4
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
14.03.21	Linense - Algeciras	0:1
03.01.21	Algeciras - Linense	1:1
08.12.19	Algeciras - Linense	2:0
Club Friendly
11.08.18	Algeciras - Linense	0:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
07.02.16	Linense - Algeciras	0:0

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