Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 13

Date: 27 November 2022, Sunday


	Algeciras		San Sebastian Reyes

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.5	4.75
	1.68	3.3	4.5
	1.7	3.4	4.4
	1.7	3.4	4.4
	1.74	3.62	4.88
	1.83	3.2	4.2
	1.72	3.44	4.55
	1.71	3.4	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (2.18)	3.41 ↑ (2.91)	4.52 ↑ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Algeciras
53%

Draw
26.8%

San Sebastian Reyes
20.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

30.9%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

31.1%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Algeciras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Algeciras's performance.

San Sebastian Reyes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and San Sebastian Reyes might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Algeciras than the current prediction. (-11.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Algeciras that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Sebastian Reyes than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that San Sebastian Reyes could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	12.5%	50%

Algeciras - San Sebastian Reyes Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Algeciras will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). SS Reyes will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for SS Reyes: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 12 and 7).

Algeciras is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches SS Reyes is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Algeciras could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Algeciras is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Algeciras won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Algeciras CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
19.11.22	Alcorcón - Algeciras	2:0 ✺
05.11.22	Algeciras - Deportivo A Coruña	1:2 ✺
30.10.22	Mérida AD - Algeciras	3:3 ✺
23.10.22	Algeciras - Talavera de la Reina	2:0 ✺
15.10.22	Córdoba - Algeciras	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLTWL
- San Sebastian Reyes
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
20.11.22	San Sebastian Reyes - Badajoz	1:3 ✺
06.11.22	San Sebastian Reyes - Mérida AD	1:0 ✺
29.10.22	Deportivo A Coruña - San Sebastian Reyes	1:0 ✺
23.10.22	San Sebastian Reyes - Unionistas de Salamanca	1:1 ✺
16.10.22	Linense - San Sebastian Reyes	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF Promotion Play Offs
15.05.21	San Sebastian Reyes - Algeciras	1:3

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