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Current Win Probability
Alhama 27.8%
Draw 27.5%
Espanyol 44.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
25.1%
29.7%
45.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
24.6%
29.1%
46.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alhama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
Espanyol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alhama than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Espanyol than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Alhama - Espanyol Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Belotto S. (G) 2. Zumarraga A. 5. Yannel 4. Caravaca J. (C) 10. Alvarez A. 8. Estefa 14. Velazquez Jurico A. 7. Yiyi 19. Martinez B. 21. Perez M. 26. Berasategui V.
1. Salvador R. (G) 22. Caracas D. 14. Balleste L. 21. Guerra J. 5. Vallejo L. 8. Campo A. (C) 6. Torras M. 11. Baradad O. 10. Baudet C. 17. Garcia N. 23. Browne P.
Substitutes
27. Castineyras C. 1. de Toro Aldaria E. (G) 22. Diaz Leal M. 18. Encarni 16. Gestera M. 11. Kuki 3. Martinez N. 9. Pinel R. 20. Santamaria Coleto A. 17. Toro J. 28. Zapata P.
9. Angeles 19. Arana P. 35. Domenech A. 13. Munoz M. (G) 7. Pablos J. 16. Perea P. 20. Torroda A.
Coaches
Garcia J.
Monforte S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
2', 1 - 0, Martinez B. ⚽, Berasategui V. (A),
14', 2 - 0, Berasategui V. ⚽,
26', Torras M. ↓, Torroda A. ↑,
30', 2 - 1, Browne P. ⚽, Caracas D. (A),
41', Guerra J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Torroda A. ↓, Angeles ↑,
52', 3 - 1, Yiyi ⚽, Perez M. (A),
61', Balleste L. ↓, Domenech A. ↑,
69', Yiyi 🟨,
73', Berasategui V. 🟨,
75', Caracas D. ↓, Perea P. ↑,
75', Baradad O. ↓, Arana P. ↑,
76', Estefa ↓, Encarni ↑,
81', Belotto S. 🟨,
87', Yiyi ↓, Kuki ↑,
87', Martinez B. ↓, Zapata P. ↑,
87', Berasategui V. ↓, Santamaria Coleto A. ↑,
90', Perez M. ↓, Pinel R. ↑,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Primera Federacion Women and 11).
Alhama has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
In recent matches, Espanyol has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Alhama may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Espanyol is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Alhama won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:1.3).
Including home match between the teams, Alhama won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.