Match Info

Liga F Women - Round 25

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Francisco Artés Carrasco (Lorca)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	DAZN 1 Espana, DAZN Espana, Movistar Plus+, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 3


	Alhama		Real Sociedad

	1	X	2
				Watch
	9.8	5.5	1.21	Watch
	10.98	6.05	1.2
	11.45	5.75	1.24	Watch
	12	5	1.2
	12.3	5.95	1.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	11.31 ↑ (7.31)	5.65 ↑ (4.77)	1.2 ↓ (1.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alhama
8.1%

Draw
16.1%

Real Sociedad
75.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.7%

19.5%

67.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.2%

18.7%

70.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alhama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Real Sociedad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Real Sociedad's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alhama than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Sociedad than the current prediction. (-5%)

Alhama - Real Sociedad Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Belotto S. (G) 20. Santamaria Coleto A. 27. Castineyras C. 4. Caravaca J. (C) 10. Alvarez A. 8. Estefa 18. Encarni 9. Pinel R. 19. Martinez B. 21. Perez M. 26. Berasategui V.	13. Arrula J. (G) 12. Rodriguez Herrero L. M. 2. Florentino C. 3. Vicente A. (C) 24. Agirrezabala A. 11. Marcos C. 5. Fernandez P. 22. Cahynova K. 21. Ramirez E. 8. Jacinto A. 18. Lavogez C.
Substitutes
1. de Toro Aldaria E. (G) 22. Diaz Leal M. 16. Gestera M. 11. Kuki 31. Llamas E. 3. Martinez N. 17. Toro J. 5. Yannel 28. Zapata P.	19. Aparicio A. 4. Aparicio N. 14. Eguiguren I. 10. Eizaguirre N. 1. Estensoro A. (G) 7. Pardo L. 9. Uria Gabilondo M.
Coaches
Garcia J.	Ruiz A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
7', 1 - 0, Martinez B. ⚽, Pinel R. (A),
18', 1 - 1, Lavogez C. ⚽, Marcos C. (A),
32', 1 - 2, Fernandez P. ⚽,
45', Santamaria Coleto A. 🟨,
45+7', 1 - 3, Lavogez C. ⚽, Fernandez P. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
56', 1 - 4, Agirrezabala A. ⚽, Fernandez P. (A),
59', Jacinto A. ↓, Eizaguirre N. ↑,
59', Ramirez E. ↓, Aparicio A. ↑,
61', Perez M. ↓, Yannel ↑,
61', Pinel R. ↓, Kuki ↑,
72', 1 - 5, Eizaguirre N. (Penalty Awarded),
73', Lavogez C. ↓, Uria Gabilondo M. ↑,
73', Vicente A. ↓, Aparicio N. ↑,
74', Florentino C. 🟨,
80', Agirrezabala A. ↓, Eguiguren I. ↑,
84', Santamaria Coleto A. ↓, Diaz Leal M. ↑,
84', Estefa ↓, Gestera M. ↑,
84', Berasategui V. ↓, Zapata P. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Primera Federacion Women and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League Women (Qualification ~ Second stage: )).

Alhama is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Real Sociedad is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Real Sociedad is the undisputed favorite.

We predict that Real Sociedad will win today's game, with odds of 1.35.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Alhama won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 1:2).

Including home match between the teams, Alhama won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Real Sociedad W	6	1	2	3	7:11	-4	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alhama CF
Spanish Liga F Women
28.03.26	Badalona - Alhama	3:2 ✺
22.03.26	Alhama - Atlético Madrid	1:2 ✺
15.03.26	Alhama - Sevilla	0:1 ✺
21.02.26	Madrid CFF - Alhama	5:0 ✺
15.02.26	Alhama - Real Madrid	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Real Sociedad Women
Spanish Liga F Women
29.03.26	Real Sociedad - Logroño United	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Levante - Real Sociedad	0:1 ✺
14.03.26	Real Sociedad - Real Madrid	0:3 ✺
22.02.26	Real Sociedad - Espanyol	2:1 ✺
15.02.26	Athletic Bilbao - Real Sociedad	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Liga F Women
23.11.25	Real Sociedad - Alhama	3:1
15.04.23	Alhama - Real Sociedad	1:1
07.01.23	Real Sociedad - Alhama	2:1

Alhama - Real Sociedad: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide