Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 9 - Round 16

Date: 14 January 2026, Wednesday


	Alhaurino		Arenas Armilla

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.95	3.2
	2	3	3.55
	1.95	3.40	3.65	Watch
	2	3.1	3.4
	1.99	3.14	3.56
	2	3.33	3.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↓ (2.24)	3.15 ↑ (3.06)	3.45 ↑ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alhaurino
45%

Draw
28.7%

Arenas Armilla
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.5%

29.6%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5%

28.9%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alhaurino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Arenas Armilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alhaurino than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arenas Armilla than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Alhaurino - Arenas Armilla Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 9 (Play Offs: )).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Alhaurino may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Alhaurino could have a small edge in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Arenas Armilla	5	3	2	0	8:4	4	11
15	CD Alhaurino	5	1	1	3	3:7	-4	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Alhaurino
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
11.01.26	Mancha Real - Alhaurino	2:3 ✺
21.12.25	Churriana de la Vega - Alhaurino	0:0 ✺
14.12.25	Alhaurino - Torreperogil	1:0 ✺
07.12.25	Atlético Porcuna - Alhaurino	3:4 ✺
23.11.25	Alhaurino - Torre Del Mar	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.2 WTWWT
- Arenas Armilla
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
10.01.26	Arenas Armilla - UD San Pedro	2:0 ✺
20.12.25	Arenas Armilla - Torredonjimeno	0:2 ✺
14.12.25	Granada B - Arenas Armilla	1:1 ✺
07.12.25	Arenas Armilla - Huétor Vega	2:1 ✺
23.11.25	Huétor Tájar - Arenas Armilla	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WLTWT

Alhaurino - Arenas Armilla: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide