Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 9 - Play Offs - FinalDate: 7 June 2026, Sunday
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Motril |
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Arenas Armilla |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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1.85 |
2.95 |
4.10 |
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1.66 |
3.10 |
4.50 |
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1.96 |
3.00 |
4.11 |
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2.41 |
2.50 |
3.76 |
 Watch |
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1.91 |
2.80 |
4.20 |
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1.88 |
2.95 |
4.40 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.95 ↑
(1.6) |
2.88 ↓
(3.3) |
4.18 ↓
(4.5) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Motril
46.7% | Draw
31.5% | Arenas Armilla
21.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Motril has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Motril's form might have worsened.Arenas Armilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Motril than the current prediction. (+8.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Motril, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arenas Armilla than the current prediction. (-2.8%)Motril - Arenas Armilla Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 65', (Penalty Awarded),
- 65', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 90+1', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 90+8', 🟥,
Preview
First leg result: 0-1.In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Motril won 3.Motril is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).Arenas Armilla is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins โ 4). In this match, Motril is considered a favorite.In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Motril won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:5. (average 1.4:0.6).Including home matches between the teams, Motril won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 1.3:0.3).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 3 | Arenas Armilla | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8:4 | 4 | 11 |
| 4 | Motril | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8:4 | 4 | 11 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9 | | | 31.05.26 | Arenas Armilla - Motril | 1:0 | | 22.02.26 | Motril - Arenas Armilla | 1:1 | | 12.10.25 | Arenas Armilla - Motril | 0:2 | | 30.03.25 | Arenas Armilla - Motril | 0:1 | | 17.11.24 | Motril - Arenas Armilla | 2:0 | | 21.01.24 | Motril - Arenas Armilla | 1:0 | | 10.09.23 | Arenas Armilla - Motril | 1:1 |
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