Match Info

King's Cup - 1/8-finals

Date: 5 February 2026, Thursday


	Ali CSC		Al-Najma

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.18	3.1	3
	2.27	3.41	2.87
	2.2	3.45	2.91	Watch
	2.25	3.1	2.9
	2.28	3.02	3.36	Watch
	2.16	3.33	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (1.72)	3.24 ↓ (3.46)	2.98 ↓ (4.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ali CSC
41.1%

Draw
28.2%

Al-Najma
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.1%

25.9%

22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.1%

24.9%

21.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ali CSC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ali CSC's form might have worsened.

Al-Najma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Najma's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ali CSC than the current prediction. (+13%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ali CSC, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Najma than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Najma, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	14.3%	0%

Ali CSC - Al Najma Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Ali (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Ali (1.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Ali (1.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Ali CSC will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Ali (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
31', 1 - 0, Abdullah Y. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', 2 - 0, Diego Cardoso ⚽,

Preview

Ali is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Al-Najma is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Ali has had a series of home games.

Ali will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Ali won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:4. (average 2:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Ali won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ali CSC
Bahraini Premier League
28.01.26	Ali CSC - Al-Najma	2:0 ✺
14.01.26	Ali CSC - Al Khalidiah	0:3 ✺
10.01.26	Ali CSC - Al-Muharraq	1:1 ✺
02.01.26	Al-Budaiya - Ali CSC	0:1 ✺
26.12.25	Ali CSC - Al-Hidd	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.8 WLTWW
- Al-Najma Manama
Bahraini Premier League
28.01.26	Ali CSC - Al-Najma	2:0 ✺
13.01.26	Al-Najma - Al-Riffa	1:2 ✺
09.01.26	Al Khalidiah - Al-Najma	3:0 ✺
03.01.26	Al-Najma - Bahrain SC	2:1 ✺
28.12.25	Al-Muharraq - Al-Najma	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Bahraini Premier League
28.01.26	Ali CSC - Al-Najma	2:0
19.09.25	Al-Najma - Ali CSC	0:3
12.05.25	Al-Najma - Ali CSC	1:2
11.01.25	Ali CSC - Al-Najma	1:3

Ali CSC - Al-Najma: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide