Match Info

ESTONIA: ESILIIGA - ROUND 28

Date: 23 September 2023, Saturday


	Alliance		Tabasalu

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.75	5	1.45
	4.6	5.63	1.48
	4.85	5.1	1.43
	4.75	5	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.74 ↓ (6.74)	5.18 ↓ (5.5)	1.45 ↑ (1.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alliance
19.3%

Draw
17.7%

Tabasalu
63%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.5%

16.5%

70%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.6%

11.4%

48.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alliance has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alliance's performance.

Tabasalu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tabasalu might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alliance than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tabasalu than the current prediction. (-14.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tabasalu, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Shamanskyi A. (G) 25. Kardava R. 17. Paulo Vitor 2. Wadjonre J. 5. Mitsuk G. 4. Boronilstsikov A. 30. Saar R. 7. Tsogankov D. 9. Pavlov K. 99. Velikanov V. 10. Orlov M.	1. Kristel R. (G) 11. Luts J. 44. Annion F. (C) 4. Kokla J. 12. Suppi S. 8. Nahk A. 6. Linde T. 17. Riigov R. 21. Toompuu M. 14. Vaherna M. 9. Klein P.
Substitutes
24. Butenko A. 22. Ivanov I. 15. Jakovlev M. 69. Kanev N. (G) 8. Miskov M. 19. Satov M. 12. Zotov E.	20. Kurm T. 7. Poder J. 25. Raaper H. 22. Rocco R. 42. Rumberg K. (G) 30. Rumberg R. 80. Taal J.

Preview

Alliance has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Tabasalu is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Tabasalu is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Alliance won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Alliance won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ida-Virumaa FC Alliance
Estonian Esiliiga
16.09.23	Tallinna JK Legion - Alliance	1:1 ✺
02.09.23	Alliance - Nõmme United	1:3 ✺
26.08.23	Viimsi JK - Alliance	1:0 ✺
19.08.23	Alliance - Levadia Tallinn U21	1:2 ✺
12.08.23	FC Tallinn - Alliance	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TLLLL
- JK Tabasalu
Estonian Esiliiga
17.09.23	Tabasalu - FC Tallinn	2:3 ✺
03.09.23	Tallinna JK Legion - Tabasalu	1:4 ✺
27.08.23	Tabasalu - Levadia Tallinn U21	0:1 ✺
21.08.23	Flora U21 - Tabasalu	7:3 ✺
12.08.23	Tabasalu - Nõmme United	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Esiliiga
22.07.23	Tabasalu - Alliance	7:4
25.05.23	Tabasalu - Alliance	5:2
15.04.23	Alliance - Tabasalu	2:5
Club Friendly
21.01.23	Tabasalu - Alliance	0:1

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