Match Info

ESTONIA: ESILIIGA - ROUND 27

Date: 16 September 2023, Saturday

Location: Kadrioru Staadion (Tallinn)


	Tallinna JK Legion		Alliance

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.75	4	2.05
	2.52	4.38	2.24
	2.56	4.05	2.23	Watch
	2.75	4	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↑ (1.41)	4.11 ↓ (5.08)	2.14 ↓ (5.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tallinna JK Legion
34.7%

Draw
22.4%

Alliance
42.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.5%

17.9%

17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46%

12.8%

24.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tallinna JK Legion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-29.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tallinna JK Legion's form might have worsened.

Alliance has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+25.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alliance's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tallinna JK Legion than the current prediction. (+11.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tallinna JK Legion, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alliance than the current prediction. (-18.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alliance, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Tallinna JK Legion - Alliance Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Legion will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Alliance will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bolgov S. (G) 75. Maearu S. 30. Volodin A. (C) 34. Havier M. 66. Pochekutov V. 33. Samborskyi D. 13. Terletski A. 59. Borissov A. 2. Eensalu M. 27. Ivanov D. 14. Balta A.	1. Shamanskyi A. (G) 15. Jakovlev M. 5. Mitsuk G. 30. Saar R. 17. Paulo Vitor 4. Boronilstsikov A. 24. Butenko A. 8. Miskov M. (C) 9. Pavlov K. 99. Velikanov V. 10. Orlov M.
Substitutes
4. Gasinski D. 39. Istsenko V. 15. Pankov D. 17. Panov V. 21. Ruus D. 38. Smirnov V. 51. Sorokin I. 47. Vinogradov K.	22. Ivanov I. 69. Kanev N. (G) 14. Koskor K. 12. Zotov E.

Preview

Legion is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Alliance has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Legion is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Legion won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Legion won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tallinna JK Legion
Estonian Esiliiga
03.09.23	Tallinna JK Legion - Tabasalu	1:4 ✺
26.08.23	Nõmme United - Tallinna JK Legion	2:2 ✺
19.08.23	Elva - Tallinna JK Legion	0:0 ✺
12.08.23	Tallinna JK Legion - Viimsi JK	0:1 ✺
05.08.23	Tallinna JK Legion - Flora U21	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 38.7 LTTLL
- Ida-Virumaa FC Alliance
Estonian Esiliiga
02.09.23	Alliance - Nõmme United	1:3 ✺
26.08.23	Viimsi JK - Alliance	1:0 ✺
19.08.23	Alliance - Levadia Tallinn U21	1:2 ✺
12.08.23	FC Tallinn - Alliance	2:1 ✺
05.08.23	Alliance - Paide U21	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Esiliiga
10.06.23	Alliance - Tallinna JK Legion	1:0
28.04.23	Tallinna JK Legion - Alliance	1:0

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