Match Info

Date: 18 December 2021, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Almansa		Conquense

	1	X	2
	2.75	2.95	2.35
	2.7	2.88	2.28
	2.75	2.95	2.35
	2.74	2.92	2.33
	2.95	2.9	2.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.78 ↑ (2.74)	2.92 (2.92)	2.35 ↑ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Almansa
31.9%

Draw
30.4%

Conquense
37.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32.1%

30.1%

37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.8%

21.4%

53.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Almansa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Conquense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almansa than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Almansa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Conquense than the current prediction. (+15.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Conquense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Almansa - Conquense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 12 and 6).

Almansa is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Conquense is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Almansa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Almansa won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Almansa won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Almansa
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
12.12.21	Quintanar del Rey - Almansa	3:0 ✺
04.12.21	Almansa - Torrijos	0:2 ✺
27.11.21	Hogar Alcarreño - Almansa	0:3 ✺
21.11.21	Almansa - Albacete B	1:1 ✺
14.11.21	Villarrobledo - Almansa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLWTL
- UB Conquense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
08.12.21	Torrijos - Conquense	0:0 ✺
04.12.21	Conquense - Hogar Alcarreño	2:0 ✺
27.11.21	Albacete B - Conquense	0:1 ✺
21.11.21	Conquense - Villarrobledo	3:1 ✺
13.11.21	Tarancón - Conquense	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
16.05.21	Almansa - Conquense	0:3
17.11.19	Almansa - Conquense	0:1
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
24.09.17	Conquense - Almansa	4:2

Almansa - Conquense

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Almansa - Conquense Predictions

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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