Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 18 - ROUND 17

Date: 21 January 2024, Sunday


	Conquense		Villarrobledo

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.3	5.75
	1.57	3.24	5.93
	1.56	3.38	6.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 (1.57)	3.31 ↑ (3.24)	5.98 ↑ (5.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Conquense
57.6%

Draw
27.3%

Villarrobledo
15.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.2%

27.7%

15.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.8%

26.1%

14.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Conquense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

The chances for Villarrobledo have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Conquense than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villarrobledo than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

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Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 6).

Conquense in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Villarrobledo is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Villarrobledo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Conquense is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Conquense to win the game is with odds 1.57.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Conquense won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Conquense won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UB Conquense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
13.01.24	Azuqueca - Conquense	0:2 ✺
07.01.24	Conquense - Quintanar del Rey	1:0 ✺
16.12.23	Tarancón - Conquense	0:0 ✺
03.12.23	Conquense - Torrijos	3:0 ✺
26.11.23	Atlético Tomelloso - Conquense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWTWW
- CP Villarrobledo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
14.01.24	Villarrobledo - Deportivo Toledo	1:1 ✺
07.01.24	Cazalegas - Villarrobledo	2:0 ✺
17.12.23	Villarrobledo - Villarrubia	1:0 ✺
03.12.23	Villacañas - Villarrobledo	3:2 ✺
25.11.23	Azuqueca - Villarrobledo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
19.02.23	Villarrobledo - Conquense	0:1
16.10.22	Conquense - Villarrobledo	1:0
20.03.22	Villarrobledo - Conquense	0:0
21.11.21	Conquense - Villarrobledo	3:1

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