Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 8 - ROUND 15

Date: 7 January 2024, Sunday


	Almazán		Atlético Astorga

	1	X	2
	2.8	2.85	2.45
	2.84	2.75	2.52
	2.84	2.75	2.53
	2.79	2.95	2.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↓ (2.84)	2.83 ↑ (2.74)	2.49 ↓ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Almazán
32%

Draw
31.9%

Atlético Astorga
36.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.6%

32.8%

35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9%

32.5%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Almazán has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Atlético Astorga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almazán than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Astorga than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Almazán won 2.

Almazán is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Atlético Astorga is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Almazán won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Almazán won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Almazán
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
16.12.23	Atlético Tordesillas - Almazán	3:0 ✺
03.12.23	Almazán - Atlético Palencia	0:0 ✺
26.11.23	Burgos Promesas - Almazán	1:0 ✺
19.11.23	Almazán - Leonesa B	3:3 ✺
12.11.23	Almazán - Palencia CA	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LTLTL
- Atlético Astorga
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
16.12.23	Atlético Astorga - Salamanca	3:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
06.12.23	Atlético Astorga - Sevilla	0:2 ✺
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
02.12.23	Villaralbo - Atlético Astorga	2:2 ✺
25.11.23	Atlético Astorga - Real Ávila	0:1 ✺
19.11.23	Bembibre - Atlético Astorga	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
28.01.23	Atlético Astorga - Almazán	3:1
25.09.22	Almazán - Atlético Astorga	1:4
02.02.22	Almazán - Atlético Astorga	3:0
04.09.21	Atlético Astorga - Almazán	0:1
14.12.19	Atlético Astorga - Almazán	2:1
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
23.09.17	Atlético Astorga - Almazán	1:1

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