Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 9 - ROUND 16

Date: 23 December 2023, Saturday


	Almeria B		Mancha Real

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.6	5
	1.57	3.6	5.5
	1.59	3.6	4.93
	1.6	3.6	4.94
	1.55	3.64	5.5
	1.57	3.6	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↑ (1.54)	3.61 ↓ (3.7)	5.23 ↓ (5.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Almeria B
57.5%

Draw
25.1%

Mancha Real
17.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59%

24.5%

16.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.4%

23.9%

16.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Almeria B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Mancha Real has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almeria B than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mancha Real than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Almeria B - Mancha Real Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 6 and 11).

Almeria B is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Mancha Real is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Almeria B is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Almeria B won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Almeria B won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Almeria B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
17.12.23	Atlético Melilla - Almeria B	2:4 ✺
03.12.23	Real Jaén - Almeria B	1:1 ✺
26.11.23	Almeria B - Torreperogil	3:3 ✺
19.11.23	Motril - Almeria B	1:1 ✺
12.11.23	Almeria B - Huétor Vega	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WTTTW
- Atlético Mancha Real
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
17.12.23	Mancha Real - Torre Del Mar	0:1 ✺
07.12.23	Mancha Real - Malaga B	2:1 ✺
03.12.23	Atlético Melilla - Mancha Real	1:1 ✺
26.11.23	Mancha Real - Málaga Juniors	2:1 ✺
19.11.23	Real Jaén - Mancha Real	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
18.02.18	Almeria B - Mancha Real	0:1

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