Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 9 - ROUND 11

Date: 19 November 2023, Sunday


	Motril		Almeria B

	1	X	2
	2.37	2.9	2.8
	2.52	2.71	2.92
	2.53	2.72	2.92
	2.46	2.9	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↑ (2.2)	2.81 ↓ (3.1)	2.87 ↓ (3.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Motril
36.5%

Draw
32.1%

Almeria B
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

29.3%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

30.7%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Motril has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Almeria B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Motril than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Motril, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almeria B than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 7 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 9 (Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Motril won 2.

Motril is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Almeria B is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Motril will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Motril won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Motril won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Motril
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
12.11.23	Torre Del Mar - Motril	2:1 ✺
05.11.23	Motril - Mancha Real	0:2 ✺
28.10.23	Atlético Melilla - Motril	0:0 ✺
22.10.23	Motril - Málaga Juniors	1:2 ✺
15.10.23	Real Jaén - Motril	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 LLTLW
- Almeria B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
12.11.23	Almeria B - Huétor Vega	1:0 ✺
05.11.23	Huétor Tájar - Almeria B	0:2 ✺
29.10.23	Almeria B - Arenas Armilla	2:0 ✺
22.10.23	Rincón - Almeria B	0:0 ✺
15.10.23	Almeria B - Maracena	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
02.04.23	Motril - Almeria B	2:1
08.12.22	Almeria B - Motril	0:0
03.04.22	Almeria B - Motril	3:0
05.12.21	Motril - Almeria B	1:1
Club Friendly
27.08.21	Motril - Almeria B	4:3
07.10.20	Motril - Almeria B	3:2
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
09.02.20	Almeria B - Motril	1:2

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