Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 9 - ROUND 27

Date: 26 March 2023, Sunday


	Almeria B		Marbella

	1	X	2
	3.5	2.95	2
	3.3	2.85	2.02
	3.42	2.91	2.02
	3.68	3.16	2.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.48 ↑ (3.42)	2.97 ↑ (2.91)	2.01 ↓ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Almeria B
25.7%

Draw
30%

Marbella
44.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.9%

30.4%

43.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.6%

30.1%

44.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Almeria B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Marbella has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almeria B than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

The ML Model estimate for Marbella aligns with the current prediction.

Almeria B - Marbella Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 9 (Play Offs) and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Almeria B won 2.

Recent matches Almeria B is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Marbella in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Marbella will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Almeria B won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Almeria B won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Almeria B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
19.03.23	Real Jaén - Almeria B	1:0 ✺
12.03.23	Almeria B - Huétor Tájar	3:1 ✺
05.03.23	Huracán Melilla - Almeria B	1:2 ✺
26.02.23	Málaga Juniors - Almeria B	2:2 ✺
19.02.23	Almeria B - Malaga B	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWWTT
- Marbella FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
19.03.23	Marbella - Malaga B	2:0 ✺
12.03.23	Arenas Armilla - Marbella	0:2 ✺
05.03.23	Marbella - Torreperogil	4:0 ✺
26.02.23	Torredonjimeno - Marbella	1:2 ✺
19.02.23	Marbella - Huétor Vega	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
04.12.22	Marbella - Almeria B	2:0
08.05.22	Marbella - Almeria B	1:2 ET
09.02.22	Almeria B - Marbella	0:0
26.09.21	Marbella - Almeria B	2:3
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
13.01.19	Marbella - Almeria B	2:0
27.08.18	Almeria B - Marbella	2:1
27.02.16	Marbella - Almeria B	0:1

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