Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 9 - ROUND 25

Date: 12 March 2023, Sunday


	Arenas Armilla		Marbella

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.2	1.68
	4.6	3.12	1.66
	4.84	3.2	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.73 ↑ (4.6)	3.17 ↑ (3.1)	1.7 ↑ (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arenas Armilla
18.9%

Draw
28.2%

Marbella
52.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19%

28.2%

52.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.3%

27.2%

54.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arenas Armilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Marbella has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arenas Armilla than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marbella than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 9 (Play Offs)).

Recent matches Arenas Armilla is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Marbella is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Arenas Armilla could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Marbella is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Arenas Armilla won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arenas Armilla
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
05.03.23	Real Jaén - Arenas Armilla	1:0 ✺
25.02.23	Arenas Armilla - Huétor Tájar	1:2 ✺
19.02.23	Huracán Melilla - Arenas Armilla	0:4 ✺
11.02.23	Arenas Armilla - Almeria B	1:0 ✺
05.02.23	Malaga B - Arenas Armilla	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LLWWL
- Marbella FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
05.03.23	Marbella - Torreperogil	4:0 ✺
26.02.23	Torredonjimeno - Marbella	1:2 ✺
19.02.23	Marbella - Huétor Vega	1:0 ✺
12.02.23	Atlético Porcuna - Marbella	0:2 ✺
05.02.23	Marbella - Maracena	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
20.11.22	Marbella - Arenas Armilla	3:0

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