Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 5

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday


	Almeria B		Águilas

	1	X	2
	3.2	2.87	2.15
	3.95	2.88	1.95
	4.33	2.94	2
	4.06	3.13	1.99
	3.25	2.9	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.76 ↑ (2.32)	2.94 ↓ (3.1)	2.05 ↓ (3.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Almeria B
24.3%

Draw
31%

Águilas
44.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.1%

30%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

29.1%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Almeria B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Almeria B's form might have worsened.

Águilas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Águilas's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almeria B than the current prediction. (+17%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Almeria B, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Águilas than the current prediction. (-15.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Águilas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Almeria B - Águilas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
1', 0 - 1, Martinez C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Recent form of Almeria B has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Águilas has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Recently, Águilas has had a series of home games.

Águilas might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Almeria B won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1.3:1.8).

Including home match between the teams, Almeria B won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Almeria B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
28.09.25	Minera - Almeria B	4:0 ✺
21.09.25	Almeria B - Linares Deportivo	0:1 ✺
14.09.25	Atlético Malagueño - Almeria B	0:1 ✺
07.09.25	Almeria B - Recreativo Huelva	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
13.08.25	Pulpileño - Almeria B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLWLT
- Águilas FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
28.09.25	Águilas - CD Extremadura	1:2 ✺
21.09.25	Águilas - Xerez CD	0:0 ✺
14.09.25	Linares Deportivo - Águilas	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
30.08.25	Águilas - Cieza	1:1 ✺
15.08.25	Águilas - Lorca Deportiva	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LTTTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
12.01.25	Almeria B - Águilas	1:3
31.08.24	Águilas - Almeria B	2:2
Club Friendly
10.08.22	Águilas - Almeria B	1:0
18.08.21	Águilas - Almeria B	1:2

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