Match Info

GREECE: SUPER LEAGUE 2 - ROUND 6

Date: 11 December 2022, Sunday


	Almopos Aridaea		AEL Larissa

	1	X	2
	5	2.85	1.75
	4.9	2.95	1.76
	5.2	2.86	1.75
	5.8	3	1.67
	5.45	3.13	1.68
	5	3	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.23 ↓ (5.9)	2.97 ↓ (3.7)	1.73 ↑ (1.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Almopos Aridaea
17.3%

Draw
30.5%

AEL Larissa
52.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.1%

24%

60.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.3%

22.7%

64.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Almopos Aridaea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

AEL Larissa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and AEL Larissa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almopos Aridaea than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AEL Larissa than the current prediction. (+12.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that AEL Larissa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	33.3%	44.4%

Almopos Aridaea - AEL Larissa Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Almopos will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Larissa will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Larissa: 11.9% – 76.9%.

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 11 and 2).

Almopos is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Larissa is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Larissa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Larissa is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Almopos won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Almopos won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Almopos Aridaea
Greek Super League 2
04.12.22	Veria - Almopos Aridaea	1:0 ✺
27.11.22	Almopos Aridaea - Makedonikos	0:0 ✺
21.11.22	Panathinaikos B - Almopos Aridaea	1:1 ✺
14.11.22	Almopos Aridaea - Panserraikos	0:1 ✺
06.11.22	Iraklis - Almopos Aridaea	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 LTTLT
- AEL Larissa
Greek Super League 2
04.12.22	AEL Larissa - Thesprotos	2:0 ✺
26.11.22	Apollon Larissa - AEL Larissa	0:2 ✺
19.11.22	AEL Larissa - Niki Volos	1:0 ✺
11.11.22	PAOK B - AEL Larissa	1:0 ✺
06.11.22	AEL Larissa - Iraklis Larissa	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Greek Super League 2
10.04.22	AEL Larissa - Almopos Aridaea	2:1
12.01.22	Almopos Aridaea - AEL Larissa	0:1

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