Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 17 - Round 26Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday
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 |
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Almudévar |
|
Épila |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.68 |
2.82 |
2.62 |
|
 |
2.49 |
3.2 |
2.71 |
|
 |
2.54 |
3.1 |
2.69 |
|
 |
2.5 |
2.9 |
2.63 |
|
 |
2.45 |
3.04 |
2.67 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.53 ↓
(2.84) |
3.01 ↑
(2.67) |
2.66 ↓
(2.67) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
- The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Almudévar
35.8% | Draw
30.1% | Épila
34.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Almudévar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)The chances for Épila have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almudévar than the current prediction. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Épila than the current prediction. (-2.5%)Almudévar - Épila Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 8', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 86', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 17 (Play Offs: )).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Almudévar won 0.Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game. In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Almudévar won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 0.9:1.1).Including home matches between the teams, Almudévar won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 9 | Epila | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 7 |
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| 11 | Almudevar | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7:6 | 1 | 6 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Almudévar - the odds 2.84 are the expected chance of winning is 31.96%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
Épila - the odds 2.67 are the expected chance of winning is 34.05%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17 | | | 02.11.25 | Épila - Almudévar | 0:0 | | 06.04.25 | Épila - Almudévar | 1:1 | | 30.11.24 | Almudévar - Épila | 0:0 | | 01.05.24 | Almudévar - Épila | 1:2 | | 07.01.24 | Épila - Almudévar | 1:1 | | 26.03.23 | Almudévar - Épila | 3:2 | | 27.11.22 | Épila - Almudévar | 2:0 |
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