Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 17 - Round 18

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday


	Calamocha		Almudévar

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.3	4.45
	1.72	3.4	4.75	Watch
	1.73	3.1	4.8
	1.74	3.55	4.7
	1.68	3.4	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.7)	3.35 ↓ (3.45)	4.69 ↑ (4.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Calamocha
53.2%

Draw
27.3%

Almudévar
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

26.5%

19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.7%

25.1%

18.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Calamocha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Almudévar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Calamocha than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almudévar than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Calamocha - Almudévar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+3', 1 - 0, Torcal Guiu D. ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 17 (Play Offs: ) and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Calamocha won 2.

Calamocha is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Almudévar is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Almudévar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Calamocha is the team to beat.

We predict that Calamocha will win today's game, with odds of 1.67.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Calamocha won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.5:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Calamocha won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Almudevar	5	2	0	3	7:6	1	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Calamocha
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
11.01.26	Calamocha - Cariñena	3:1 ✺
03.01.26	Robres - Calamocha	0:1 ✺
21.12.25	Huesca B - Calamocha	0:2 ✺
14.12.25	Calamocha - Cuarte	1:1 ✺
06.12.25	Illueca - Calamocha	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 WWWTW
- AD Almudévar
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
11.01.26	Huesca B - Almudévar	0:1 ✺
04.01.26	Almudévar - Cuarte	0:2 ✺
21.12.25	Illueca - Almudévar	0:1 ✺
14.12.25	Almudévar - Caspe	1:0 ✺
07.12.25	Binéfar - Almudévar	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.6 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
20.11.24	Almudévar - Calamocha	0:1
14.01.24	Almudévar - Calamocha	2:0
02.04.23	Almudévar - Calamocha	1:0
04.12.22	Calamocha - Almudévar	1:0
05.12.20	Calamocha - Almudévar	0:1
10.11.19	Almudévar - Calamocha	2:1

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