Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B - Round 5

Date: 28 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Municipal Stadium Alpendorada (Alpendorada)


	Alpendorada		Florgrade

	1	X	2
	2.1	2.96	3.43
	1.00	12.06	15.00	Watch
	2.05	3.2	3.35
	2	3.25	3.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (2)	5.37 ↑ (3.25)	6.28 ↑ (3.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alpendorada
61.8%

Draw
20.6%

Florgrade
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

27.8%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alpendorada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alpendorada's performance.

Florgrade has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Florgrade might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Alpendorada - Florgrade Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
21', 1 - 0, Meireles H. ⚽,
38', 2 - 0, Jucelio ⚽,
41', 2 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', 🟥,
63', 3 - 1, Nilo Souza ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 and 11 in the zone Relegation).

Florgrade is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Alpendorada will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Alpendorada
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
14.09.25	Leça - Alpendorada	0:0 ✺
24.08.25	Alpendorada - Vila Real	0:0 ✺
17.08.25	Rebordosa - Alpendorada	2:0 ✺
10.08.25	Alpendorada - Aparecida	1:0 ✺
13.04.25	Alpendorada - Beira-Mar	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TTLWL
- Florgrade FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
14.09.25	Florgrade - Cinfães	1:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
31.08.25	Florgrade - SC Espinho	0:1 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
24.08.25	Vila Meã - Florgrade	0:0 ✺
17.08.25	Leça - Florgrade	1:0 ✺
10.08.25	Florgrade - Vila Real	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WLTLL

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