Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B - Round 24

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Municipal Stadium Alpendorada (Alpendorada)


	Alpendorada		Beira-Mar

	1	X	2
	2.78	2.78	2.58
	2.8	2.75	2.56
	2.84	2.8	2.6	Watch
	2.8	2.7	2.5
	2.77	2.76	2.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↑ (2.3)	2.76 ↓ (2.86)	2.56 ↓ (3.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alpendorada
32.2%

Draw
32.7%

Beira-Mar
35.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

31.6%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7%

31.4%

28.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alpendorada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alpendorada's form might have worsened.

Beira-Mar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Beira-Mar's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alpendorada than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alpendorada, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beira-Mar than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Beira-Mar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Alpendorada - Beira Mar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
74', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 and 9).

Alpendorada is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Beira-Mar's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Alpendorada is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alpendorada won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:11. (average 0.6:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Alpendorada won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.5:3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Beira Mar	4	0	3	1	4:6	-2	3
11	FC Alpendorada	4	1	0	3	4:7	-3	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Alpendorada
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
22.03.26	Anadia - Alpendorada	0:3 ✺
15.03.26	Alpendorada - Gouveia	1:0 ✺
08.03.26	União Lamas - Alpendorada	1:0 ✺
01.03.26	Alpendorada - Vila Meã	3:2 ✺
22.02.26	Alpendorada - Cinfães	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWLWT
- SC Beira-Mar
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
22.03.26	Beira-Mar - Cinfães	1:1 ✺
15.03.26	Florgrade - Beira-Mar	1:0 ✺
08.03.26	Beira-Mar - Leça	1:1 ✺
01.03.26	Vila Real - Beira-Mar	2:1 ✺
22.02.26	Beira-Mar - Rebordosa	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
07.12.25	Beira-Mar - Alpendorada	1:1
13.04.25	Alpendorada - Beira-Mar	1:2
05.01.25	Beira-Mar - Alpendorada	2:0
29.01.23	Beira-Mar - Alpendorada	2:1
09.10.22	Alpendorada - Beira-Mar	0:4

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