Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B - Round 8

Date: 2 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Municipal Stadium Alpendorada (Alpendorada)


	Alpendorada		União Lamas

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.35	5.15
	1.71	3.32	4.81	Watch
	1.63	3.32	5.35
	2.05	2.8	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (2.22)	3.2 ↑ (2.8)	4.78 ↑ (3.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Alpendorada
52.2%

Draw
28.6%

União Lamas
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

32.4%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1%

31.5%

26%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alpendorada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alpendorada's performance.

União Lamas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and União Lamas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alpendorada than the current prediction. (-10.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alpendorada that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for União Lamas than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that União Lamas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Alpendorada - União Lamas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
37', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
90+2', 2 - 0, ⚽,
90+7', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 6 and 5)

Alpendorada is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).

In recent matches, União Lamas has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

União Lamas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, União Lamas has had a series of home games.

Alpendorada is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Alpendorada won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Including home match between the teams, Alpendorada won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Alpendorada
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
26.10.25	Vila Meã - Alpendorada	0:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
18.10.25	Alpendorada - Estrela da Amadora	3:1 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
04.10.25	Cinfães - Alpendorada	0:0 ✺
28.09.25	Alpendorada - Florgrade	3:1 ✺
14.09.25	Leça - Alpendorada	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24 TWTWT
- CF União Lamas
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
26.10.25	União Lamas - Cinfães	2:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
19.10.25	União Lamas - Vitoria Guimarães	0:1 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
05.10.25	Florgrade - União Lamas	2:1 ✺
28.09.25	União Lamas - Leça	2:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
21.09.25	União Lamas - Atlético da Malveira	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
09.02.25	União Lamas - Alpendorada	0:0
29.09.24	Alpendorada - União Lamas	2:2

Upcoming Matches