Match Info

Date: 2 October 2022, Sunday

Location: Izmir Atatürk Stadyumu (Izmir)

Referee: Erdogan M. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Altınordu		Keçiörengücü

	1	X	2
	2.62	3.25	2.5
	2.7	3.25	2.37
	2.8	3.4	2.18
	2.6	3.25	2.42
	2.75	3.51	2.53
	2.55	3.1	2.5
	2.64	3.34	2.41
	2.65	3.3	2.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↓ (2.82)	3.3 ↑ (3.12)	2.42 ↑ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Altınordu
34.4%

Draw
27.8%

Keçiörengücü
37.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.4%

29.2%

38.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6%

30.3%

37%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Altınordu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Keçiörengücü has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Altınordu than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Keçiörengücü than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
26.7%	26.7%	46.7%

Altınordu - Keçiörengücü Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Altınordu will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). Keçiörengücü will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 26.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Keçiörengücü: 21.5% – 71.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Altınordu won 0.

Altınordu is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Keçiörengücü is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Altınordu could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Keçiörengücü will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in Altınordu: Doyuran A. (Knee Injury) Surmeli K. (Red Card)

Last 6 head-to-head matches Altınordu won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 8-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Altınordu won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Altınordu
Turkish First League
18.09.22	Göztepe - Altınordu	1:0 ✺
12.09.22	Altınordu - Pendikspor	1:1 ✺
27.08.22	Boluspor - Altınordu	1:1 ✺
20.08.22	Altınordu - Sakaryaspor	0:2 ✺
13.08.22	Gençlerbirliği - Altınordu	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LTTLT
- Keçiörengücü
Turkish First League
17.09.22	Keçiörengücü - Erzurumspor	3:2 ✺
10.09.22	Bandırmaspor - Keçiörengücü	2:2 ✺
04.09.22	Keçiörengücü - Sakaryaspor	2:1 ✺
28.08.22	Altay - Keçiörengücü	1:3 ✺
21.08.22	Keçiörengücü - Bodrumspor	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
10.01.22	Altınordu - Keçiörengücü	2:3
15.08.21	Keçiörengücü - Altınordu	1:1
09.04.21	Keçiörengücü - Altınordu	5:3
06.12.20	Altınordu - Keçiörengücü	0:2
26.06.20	Altınordu - Keçiörengücü	1:2
30.11.19	Keçiörengücü - Altınordu	2:1

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