Match Info

1. Lig - Round 6

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Aktepe Stadium (Ankara)

Referee: Kendirciler Y. A. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, Tabii Spor 1


	Keçiörengücü		Bodrumspor

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.6	1.95	Watch
	3.46	3.46	1.94
	3.6	3.65	2
	1.62	3.63	5.51	Watch
	3.69	3.69	1.9	Watch
	4	3.65	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.33 ↓ (4.26)	3.61 ↓ (3.68)	2.51 ↑ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Keçiörengücü
30.8%

Draw
28.4%

Bodrumspor
40.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.7%

25.1%

53.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.1%

24.5%

54.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Keçiörengücü has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Keçiörengücü's performance.

Bodrumspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bodrumspor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Keçiörengücü than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Keçiörengücü that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bodrumspor than the current prediction. (+13.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bodrumspor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Keçiörengücü - Bodrumspor Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Bodrumspor (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Erdogan M. (G) 17. Bilgic H. 23. Mexer 5. Caliskan O. 11. Dere A. 14. Akdag I. 36. Karaogul I. 7. Roshi O. 8. Rroca E. 21. Ezeh F. 55. Diouf M.	1. Nogueira Sousa D. F. (G) 11. Imeri O. 15. Ajeti Ar. 34. Aytemur A. 27. Yilmaz M. 26. Mohammed M. 10. Brazao P. 16. Fredy 21. Aslan A. 99. Seferi T. 70. Bilsel E.
Substitutes
9. Akman A. 22. Ayan H. 4. Celik A. 6. Develi E. 79. Duman A. 78. Fernandes J. 60. Keskin B. 19. Osman H. 26. Potuk A. 18. Satilmis E. (G)	35. Apaydin F. 7. Dimitrov Z. 48. Dumanli C. 8. Erdilman M. 90. Habesoglu A. 20. Sertkaya Y. 68. Tarim I. 32. Tosun B. (G) 25. Turk A. 17. Yavuzay B.
Coaches
Agcay S.	Eser B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Ezeh F. ⚽, Akdag I. (A),
16', Rroca E. 🟨,
37', Seferi T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Bilsel E. ↓, Habesoglu A. ↑,
47', 1 - 1, Habesoglu A. ⚽, Fredy (A),
62', Rroca E. ↓, Ayan H. ↑,
71', Roshi O. ↓, Fernandes J. ↑,
72', 2 - 1, Caliskan O. ⚽, Akdag I. (A),
78', Aslan A. ↓, Apaydin F. ↑,
78', Imeri O. ↓, Dumanli C. ↑,
81', Brazao P. ↓, Dimitrov Z. ↑,
87', Diouf M. ↓, Osman H. ↑,
87', Dere A. ↓, Keskin B. ↑,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 13 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Lig).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Keçiörengücü won 2.

Keçiörengücü has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Bodrumspor is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Keçiörengücü may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Bodrumspor is considered a favorite.

There are questionable in Keçiörengücü: Ozer A. (Injury) Wellington Nascimento (Injury)

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Keçiörengücü won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:10. (average 1.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Keçiörengücü won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:8. (average 1.8:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Keçiörengücü
Turkish First League
14.09.25	Bandırmaspor - Keçiörengücü	1:1 ✺
31.08.25	Keçiörengücü - Çorum	1:2 ✺
24.08.25	Boluspor - Keçiörengücü	2:1 ✺
16.08.25	Keçiörengücü - İstanbulspor	0:0 ✺
09.08.25	Hatayspor - Keçiörengücü	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 TLLTW
- Bodrumspor
Turkish Cup
16.09.25	Tire 2021 - Bodrumspor	0:1 ✺
Turkish First League
12.09.25	Bodrumspor - Adana Demirspor	3:1 ✺
31.08.25	Serik Belediyespor - Bodrumspor	2:4 ✺
23.08.25	Bodrumspor - Sakaryaspor	3:1 ✺
17.08.25	Sivasspor - Bodrumspor	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
06.04.24	Bodrumspor - Keçiörengücü	0:0
11.11.23	Keçiörengücü - Bodrumspor	1:1
22.01.23	Bodrumspor - Keçiörengücü	1:2
21.08.22	Keçiörengücü - Bodrumspor	1:3
Turkish Second League White Group
10.03.19	Bodrumspor - Keçiörengücü	1:2
21.10.18	Keçiörengücü - Bodrumspor	3:2
Turkish Second League Red Group
25.02.18	Keçiörengücü - Bodrumspor	2:2

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