Match Info

TURKEY: 2. LIG WHITE GROUP - ROUND 16

Date: 2 December 2023, Saturday


	Altınordu		Vanspor

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.1	2.2
	3	3.2	2.3	Watch
	2.96	2.95	2.33
	2.97	2.95	2.33
	2.96	3.08	2.28
	3	3	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.97 ↓ (3.85)	3.05 ↓ (3.25)	2.28 ↑ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Altınordu
30.6%

Draw
29.7%

Vanspor
39.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.4%

27.8%

48.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.6%

26.9%

50.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Altınordu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Altınordu's performance.

Vanspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vanspor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Altınordu than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Altınordu that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vanspor than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vanspor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Altınordu - Vanspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Altınordu will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Vanspor will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ 2. Lig Play Offs (Quarter~finals)).

Altınordu is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Vanspor is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Altınordu
Turkish Second League White Group
26.11.23	Yeni Diyarbakırspor - Altınordu	2:0 ✺
18.11.23	Altınordu - Afjet Afyonspor	0:1 ✺
11.11.23	Erokspor - Altınordu	1:0 ✺
05.11.23	Altınordu - 1461 Trabzon	2:2 ✺
28.10.23	Zonguldak Kömürspor - Altınordu	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLLTW
- Vanspor FK
Turkish Second League White Group
26.11.23	Vanspor - Nazillispor	2:2 ✺
18.11.23	Ankaraspor - Vanspor	2:2 ✺
12.11.23	Vanspor - Karacabey Belediyespor	1:1 ✺
05.11.23	Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu - Vanspor	3:0 ✺
22.10.23	Vanspor - Yeni Diyarbakırspor	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TTTLW

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