Match Info

NORWAY: DIVISION 2 - GROUP 2 - ROUND 18

Date: 3 September 2023, Sunday


	Alta		Bærum

	1	X	2
	1.93	3.89	3.37
	1.67	4.2	3.4
	1.85	4.05	3.34
	1.83	4.1	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↑ (1.64)	4.06 ↓ (4.33)	3.34 ↓ (3.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alta
50.2%

Draw
22.5%

Bærum
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

20.9%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

19.9%

22.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alta's form might have worsened.

Bærum has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alta than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alta, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bærum than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Alta - Bærum Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
55. Trige M. (G) 10. Abelsen M. 30. Andersen J. 15. Andersen M. 16. Antonsen N. 4. Hansen M. 5. Lamark J. 8. Olsen G. 19. Overvik R. 23. Reginiussen C. 7. Yartey I.	1. Skretteberg D. N. (G) 14. Arvesen C. S. 7. Bransdale L. 5. Frobenius A. 9. Hagen M. 19. Haugen K. 10. Lovseth R. S. 17. Myrmo M. 15. Oya J. 20. Sorensen K. 2. Vogt P.
Substitutes
17. Akselsen K. 34. Arnason S. 18. Brekke P. 1. Eltermanis M. (G) 25. Holsbo K. 3. Olsen O. 33. Opgard M. 12. Skum N. 20. Suhr-Stamnes T.	18. Bojang J. 6. Hauger H. 22. Holter J. 21. Skrefsrud J. (G)

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 6 and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Alta won 1.

Alta is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Bærum is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Alta could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Alta is a favorite.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Alta won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 17-27.

Including matches at home between the teams Alta won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alta IF
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 2
27.08.23	Junkeren - Alta	0:1 ✺
19.08.23	Alta - Sotra	1:1 ✺
12.08.23	Alta - Levanger	0:1 ✺
05.08.23	Ullern - Alta	1:3 ✺
31.07.23	Alta - Strømsgodset 2	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WTLWW
- Bærum Sportsklubb
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 2
26.08.23	Bærum - Levanger	2:6 ✺
19.08.23	Ullensaker Kisa - Bærum	4:1 ✺
16.08.23	Kvik Halden - Bærum	Canceled ✺
12.08.23	Bærum - Ullern	6:1 ✺
29.07.23	Bærum - Ullensaker Kisa	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LL?WL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 2 - Group 2
06.05.23	Bærum - Alta	4:3
22.10.22	Alta - Bærum	0:2
07.05.22	Bærum - Alta	2:1
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
09.10.21	Bærum - Alta	3:2
30.06.21	Alta - Bærum	2:1
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 2
04.08.19	Alta - Bærum	1:2
19.05.19	Bærum - Alta	3:1

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