Match Info

Division 3 - Group 1 - Round 26

Date: 26 October 2025, Sunday


	Bærum		Ullern

	1	X	2
	1.50	4.79	4.58	Watch
	1.46	4.8	4.93
	1.47	5	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.5)	4.86 ↑ (4.79)	4.75 ↑ (4.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bærum
61.9%

Draw
18.8%

Ullern
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61%

19.1%

20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.5%

19.9%

19.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bærum has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Ullern has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bærum than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

The ML Model estimate for Ullern aligns with the current prediction.

Bærum - Ullern Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 2)
15', 1 - 0, Augdal M. ⚽,
21', 2 - 0, Augdal M. ⚽,
29', 2 - 1, Evensen B. ⚽,
32', 3 - 1, Coric K. ⚽,
39', 3 - 2, Nouri A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
83', 4 - 2, Bransdal L. ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 and 5).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bærum won 3.

Bærum has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Ullern is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Bærum may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Bærum is considered a favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Bærum won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:8. (average 2.1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Bærum won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bærum Sportsklubb
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 1
19.10.25	KFUM-Kameratene Oslo 2 - Bærum	0:4 ✺
11.10.25	Bærum - Ulfstind	5:1 ✺
04.10.25	Gamle Oslo - Bærum	4:2 ✺
27.09.25	Bærum - Funnefoss Vormsund	1:1 ✺
21.09.25	Skjervøy - Bærum	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WWLTL
- Ullern IF
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 1
18.10.25	Ullern - Skjervøy	3:2 ✺
11.10.25	Funnefoss Vormsund - Ullern	2:2 ✺
07.10.25	Ullern - Frigg Oslo	0:0 ✺
28.09.25	Fløya - Ullern	0:2 ✺
20.09.25	Ullern - Alta 2	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 3 - Group 1
21.04.25	Ullern - Bærum	1:2
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 3
07.09.24	Ullern - Bærum	1:1
08.06.24	Bærum - Ullern	2:2
Norwegian NM Cup
11.04.24	Ullern - Bærum	0:2
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 2
12.08.23	Bærum - Ullern	6:1
23.07.23	Ullern - Bærum	2:1
Club Friendly
17.03.23	Bærum - Ullern	1:1

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