Match Info

Division 2 - Group 2 - Round 16

Date: 17 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Finnmarkshallen (Alta)


	Alta		Hønefoss

	1	X	2
	2.95	3.9	1.9
	3.1	4.15	1.9
	2.94	4.38	2
	3.13	4	1.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.03 ↑ (2.78)	4.11 ↑ (3.97)	1.92 ↓ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alta
30.2%

Draw
22.3%

Hønefoss
47.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33%

23.1%

43.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

22.8%

44.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Hønefoss has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alta than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hønefoss than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Alta - Hønefoss Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Honka-Hallila A. (G) 32. Andersen J. 16. Antonsen N. 18. Brekke P. 25. Holsbo K. 14. Jacobsen F. 5. Lamark J. 10. Larsen M. 4. Mahlamaki S. 23. Reginiussen C. 12. Skum N.	26. Byttingsvik J. (G) 23. Bukten S. 8. Elvevold H. 29. Groven A. 5. Murray T. 20. Olimb M. 19. Overby E. 15. Oya J. 14. Randers A. 11. Ringberg S. 3. Rydje L.
Substitutes
27. Akesson G. 22. Bello Z. 17. Degerstrom A. 1. Eltermanis M. (G) 45. Eriksson P. 26. Ingilae T. E. 15. Kleiva C.	6. Aalberg I. H. 13. Bukten J. 1. Eggen M. (G) 4. Holte S. 9. Svensson H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
4', Rydje L. 🟥,
7', 1 - 0, Skum N. ⚽,
40', Ringberg S. 🟨,
42', 2 - 0, Reginiussen C. ⚽,
45', Reginiussen C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Olimb M. ↓, Bukten J. ↑,
54', Murray T. 🟨,
59', Bukten S. ↓, Svensson H. ↑,
59', Overby E. ↓, Aalberg I. H. ↑,
65', Honka-Hallila A. 🟨,
65', Antonsen N. 🟨,
67', Groven A. 🟨,
69', 🟨,
74', Holsbo K. ↓, Bello Z. ↑,
85', Larsen M. ↓, Kleiva C. ↑,
88', Brekke P. 🟨,
90', Brekke P. ↓, Ingilae T. E. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alta won 3.

Recent form of Alta has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Hønefoss has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Alta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Hønefoss is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Alta won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.6:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Alta won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alta IF
Norwegian NM Cup
13.08.25	Ulfstind - Alta	4:3
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 2
10.08.25	Grorud - Alta	4:3 ✺
03.08.25	Alta - Tromsdalen	3:2 ✺
27.07.25	Eidsvold Turn - Alta	2:2 ✺
20.07.25	Alta - Grorud	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 LLWTL
- Hønefoss BK
Norwegian NM Cup
13.08.25	Hønefoss - Raufoss	3:0 ✺
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 2
10.08.25	Hønefoss - Levanger	2:0 ✺
02.08.25	Kjelsås - Hønefoss	5:4 ✺
26.07.25	Hønefoss - Strømmen	2:2 ✺
19.07.25	Levanger - Hønefoss	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 2 - Group 2
07.06.25	Hønefoss - Alta	3:1
Club Friendly
10.03.19	Hønefoss - Alta	1:2
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
11.08.18	Hønefoss - Alta	0:3
22.04.18	Alta - Hønefoss	2:1
Club Friendly
11.03.18	Hønefoss - Alta	1:1
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
02.11.14	Hønefoss - Alta	1:0
Norwegian NM Cup
29.05.13	Alta - Hønefoss	2:1

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