Match Info

NM Cup - 1/64-finals

Date: 13 August 2025, Wednesday

Location: Hønefoss Stadion (Hønefoss)


	Hønefoss		Raufoss

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.6	2.3
	2.45	3.5	2.3
	2.48	3.95	2.22
	2.52	4.09	2.41
	2.49	3.72	2.40	Watch
	2.5	3.75	2.25
	2.54	3.88	2.28	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↓ (2.67)	3.78 ↓ (4.26)	2.31 ↑ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hønefoss
36.5%

Draw
24.1%

Raufoss
39.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

21.6%

44.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

20.5%

41.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hønefoss has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Raufoss has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hønefoss than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Raufoss than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Hønefoss - Raufoss Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45', 1 - 0, Elvevold H. (Pen),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
48', 2 - 0, Holte S. ⚽, Rydje L. (A),
55', 3 - 0, Bonde R. ⚽, Ringberg S. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hønefoss won 0.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Raufoss may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Hønefoss won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:18. (average 1.3:2.6).

Including home match between the teams, Hønefoss won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hønefoss BK
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 2
10.08.25	Hønefoss - Levanger	2:0 ✺
02.08.25	Kjelsås - Hønefoss	5:4 ✺
26.07.25	Hønefoss - Strømmen	2:2 ✺
19.07.25	Levanger - Hønefoss	4:0 ✺
21.06.25	Hønefoss - Rana	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WLTLW
- Raufoss Fotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
10.08.25	Odd - Raufoss	1:2 ✺
06.08.25	Raufoss - Kongsvinger	2:2 ✺
02.08.25	Raufoss - Lyn	0:3 ✺
30.07.25	Lillestrøm SK - Raufoss	2:1 ✺
26.07.25	Raufoss - Skeid	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
21.03.22	Raufoss - Hønefoss	2:2
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
07.10.18	Raufoss - Hønefoss	6:1
17.06.18	Hønefoss - Raufoss	1:2
Club Friendly
07.04.18	Raufoss - Hønefoss	3:1
17.01.16	Raufoss - Hønefoss	3:1
Norwegian NM Cup
06.05.15	Raufoss - Hønefoss	0:1
Club Friendly
01.02.13	Raufoss - Hønefoss	2:2

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