Match Info

NORWAY: Division 2 - Group 2 - Round 7

Date: 20 May 2024, Monday

Location: Finnmarkshallen (Alta)


	Alta		Junkeren

	1	X	2
	1.46	4.4	4.8
	1.47	4.75	5
	1.46	5.04	5.65
	1.44	5.04	5.65
	1.4	4.6	5
	1.44	4.82	5.58	Watch
	1.46	4.5	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↑ (1.36)	4.74 ↓ (5.31)	5.27 ↓ (6.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alta
63.3%

Draw
19.3%

Junkeren
17.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.9%

17.4%

14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.1%

16.6%

13.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Junkeren has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alta than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alta, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Junkeren than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Alta - Junkeren Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Trige M. (G) 32. Andersen J. 15. Andersen M. 16. Antonsen N. 18. Brekke P. 14. Jacobsen F. 30. Norbye T. 8. Olsen G. 19. Overvik R. 23. Reginiussen C. (C) 20. Suhr-Stamnes T.	1. Acosta A. (G) 10. Chooly S. 11. Hansen M. 21. Lekang I. 3. Myrseth H. (C) 4. Nordland J. 29. Rengard T. 9. Svela S. 77. Unhjem I. 5. van der Spa A. 26. Vik E.
Substitutes
7. Aas P. 34. Arnason S. (G) 1. Eltermanis M. (G) 10. Hestad T. 25. Holsbo K. 17. Holst-Larsen F. 5. Lamark J. 33. Opgard M. 12. Skum N.	15. Evertsen B. 7. Hagen A. 14. Lien L. 27. Nordland U. 8. Solhaug S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45', Vik E. 🟨,
2nd Half (5 - 0)
47', 1 - 0, Brekke P. ⚽,
50', 2 - 0, Jacobsen F. ⚽,
57', 3 - 0, Jacobsen F. ⚽,
57', 4 - 0, Reginiussen C. ⚽,
58', Lekang I. ↓, Hagen A. ↑,
58', Nordland J. ↓, Solhaug S. ↑,
69', Olsen G. ↓, Aas P. ↑,
77', 5 - 0, Suhr-Stamnes T. ⚽,
89', Holst-Larsen F. 🟨,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 11 and 13 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Alta is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Junkeren has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Alta is indisputable favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Alta won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Alta won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alta IF
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 2
12.05.24	Vålerenga 2 - Alta	2:4 ✺
05.05.24	Alta - Strømmen	2:2 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
01.05.24	Alta - Stabæk	3:4 ✺
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 2
28.04.24	Tromsdalen - Alta	4:2 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
24.04.24	Skjervøy - Alta	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WTLLW
- IK Junkeren
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 2
12.05.24	Junkeren - Skeid	0:2 ✺
05.05.24	Strindheim - Junkeren	4:0 ✺
28.04.24	Junkeren - Stjørdals-Blink	0:3 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
24.04.24	Junkeren - Bodø Glimt	0:2 ✺
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 2
21.04.24	Eidsvold Turn - Junkeren	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 2 - Group 2
27.08.23	Junkeren - Alta	0:1
10.06.23	Alta - Junkeren	1:3

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